2024.11.10 - Online Biz Acquisition Opps

Is the snake oil and crystal business for you?

Happy Sunday peeps.

In going through the listings, I found a bunch that seemed decent when I first crossed the headline, but as I read more, things just went down hill.

So weā€™ve got 1 decent business here, followed by 5 ā€˜interesting but not for meā€™.

The decent business here is in the supplement space, which Iā€™ve never really been interested in as the products seem to be very ā€˜buzzyā€™, in other they take off and scale high but then die out. Perhaps I am wrong about that as there are lot of people out there that have made a ton in the supplements ecom space.

If you have experience in the supplement space, let me know.

// Nutritional Supplement Brand with High Recurring Revenue | 3.5x Multiple

šŸ’° Asking Price: $5,140,000
šŸ“Š Gross Revenue: $3,478,733
šŸ’¼ Cash Flow: $1,467,443
šŸ“… Established: 2019

Overview:
This premium supplement brand has built a strong customer base with proprietary products and a 61% recurring revenue stream. Operating with a 3PL, it achieves a 39% net margin and 60% YoY growth. While supplement brands are known for consistent sales, they can often be trend-dependent. This brandā€™s performance, however, is heavily tied to Facebook advertising, which a skilled buyer could diversify across additional channels to strengthen stability.

Highlights:

  • Proprietary Formulas & High Recurring Revenue: 61% of revenue comes from subscriptions or repeat buyers.

  • Efficient Fulfillment Model: 100% 3PL managed, minimizing overhead and operational complexity.

  • Premium Market Position: Average order value of $100 and high LTV with a dedicated customer base.

  • Heavy Reliance on Facebook Ads: Currently dependent on Facebook, creating an opportunity for an adept buyer to expand to other platforms.

Questions:
ā“ Are there risks associated with the brandā€™s dependence on Facebook ads, and how prepared is the business for diversification?
ā“ What product development or expansion opportunities exist to build on the current SKU lineup?
ā“ Given the marketā€™s competitive nature, how sustainable is the brandā€™s current growth trajectory?

Interesting But Not For meā€¦.

These deals looked good at a glimpse but after reviewing the listing their was glaring red flags in my opinion.

// Career Change Training Programs. 1mm SDE, Asking 3.5mm. 3.5x Multiple

The title reads well, and the multiple on the SDE is nice, but as I read it, it seems to be some type of life coaching type of thing which I find very gimmicking. The seller also adds ā€œThe company is just waiting for you to help it grow and multiply its revenue/profit by 2, 3, or even 5 times each yearā€ ā€” which sounds like straight baloney. And then I see it was only started in 2024. It seems like seller has found a nice money gab and wants to cash out before it collapses.

// Distressed Patent Food Containers Ecom. 515k SDE, Asking 1.5mm. 2.8x Multiple

Has patented products. Strong social. Multiple sales channels. Distressed position, owners invested heavily in r&d of new product but do not have the funds to launch it.

I don't a see a 2.81x straight buyout happening here at all.

The bull case: this business has innovative and value add patents. You inject capital and structure some type of earn out to keep the sellers involved.

The bear case: the patents are just an 'alternative' design and really add no value.

There may be some good upside potential for the ā€˜deal makerā€™ type of person, but personally I donā€™t feel like dealing with business partners for a 15% ecom business, so Im out.

// Holistic Brand Online Training & Ecom. 184k SDE, Asking 600k. 3.2x Multiple.

Letā€™s start with the product, meta physics education and artisanal crystals. Thatā€™s too much astrology for me. But it is doing 600k in revenue with $309 aov, for 15 years and is SBA eligible. Maybe Iā€™m the sucker?

// Remote Staffing agency. 120k SDE, Asking 600k. 5x Multiple

These businesses can have high scale and great margins, but theyā€™re very susceptible to competition (no barriers to entry). 5x is way too high. 2.5-3.5 is realistic.

// Online Marriage Service. 60k SDE, Asking 159k. 2.9x

Not exactly sure what this does. 35% margin and less than 3x multiple is attractive. But itā€™s small, has 7 employees (high for relatively low revenue), and canā€™t say I find the industry appealing.

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