Mobile appNov 11
Migraine Tracker App with Weather-Based Attack Forecasts
This solo-run app, launched in December 2025, forecasts migraine risk from users' logged triggers and the weather. Most plans are yearly, and none has renewed yet.
- Ask
- $380K
- Profit
- $195K
- Multiple
- 1.9x
- Ask
- $380K
- Revenue
- $307K
- Profit
- $195K
- Margin
- 64%
- Multiple
- 1.9x
- Age
- <1 yr (Dec 2025)
How it rates
ValuationLow ⚑
Similar mobile apps we've tracked mostly ask 2.8–4.8x profit, or 2.3–4.1x adjusted for its higher risk; this one asks 1.9x.
Durability
Under a year old, already below its May revenue peak, and selling only through Apple's and Google's app stores.
Hands-off
The founder runs it alone with no staff, and keeping two native apps running needs developer skill.
Why it's interesting
- 94,700 downloads and 5,000+ paying users in about 11 months, with a 4.4 app store rating and 32% of monthly users opening it daily.
- Profit is about 64% of gross revenue (82% of revenue after store fees), with almost no fixed costs.
- The listing reports top-5 app store search positions in five Tier-1 markets, plus Apple Search Ads campaigns that make money.
- The founder offers 90 days of help after the sale.
What to watch
- The 12-month figures cover essentially the app's whole life. The seller says revenue is below its May peak and lists annual growth at 0%.
- About 70% of plans are annual and the first renewals start in December 2026, so much of the revenue so far is first-year payments with an unknown renewal rate.
- All sales go through Apple's and Google's stores, and paid Apple Search Ads appear to bring in a large share of new users. A health app is also exposed to store policy on health claims.
- The annual chart on the listing shows placeholder numbers, so the P&L in the data room is the only real record of month-by-month results.
- At about 1.9 times profit, the price is below what mobile apps usually ask, which likely reflects the short history and falling revenue.
Ask the seller
- What was revenue each month since launch, split between new annual plans, monthly plans and Apple Search Ads-driven sales?
- Why price it under 2 times profit: how far has monthly revenue fallen from the May peak, and what caused the drop?
- How much is spent on Apple Search Ads each month, and is that spend already deducted from the reported profit?
Growth plays
- Before the first annual renewals in December 2026, send users an in-app year-in-review of their logged attacks and triggers to remind them what the app does.
- Pitch the app to neurologists and headache clinics as a patient diary between appointments, with an exportable symptom report.
- Partner with migraine patient groups and online communities to bring in users without paying for ads.
Nov 11Added to Acumen Wire